An analytic approach to cyber adversarial dynamics

Patrick Sweeney; George Cybenko

doi:10.1117/12.924758

18 June 2012 An analytic approach to cyber adversarial dynamics

Patrick Sweeney, George Cybenko

Proceedings Volume 8359, Sensors, and Command, Control, Communications, and Intelligence (C3I) Technologies for Homeland Security and Homeland Defense XI; 835906 (2012) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.924758
Event: SPIE Defense, Security, and Sensing, 2012, Baltimore, Maryland, United States

Abstract

To date, cyber security investment by both the government and commercial sectors has been largely driven by the myopic best response of players to the actions of their adversaries and their perception of the adversarial environment. However, current work in applying traditional game theory to cyber operations typically assumes that games exist with prescribed moves, strategies, and payos. This paper presents an analytic approach to characterizing the more realistic cyber adversarial metagame that we believe is being played. Examples show that understanding the dynamic metagame provides opportunities to exploit an adversary's anticipated attack strategy. A dynamic version of a graph-based attack-defend game is introduced, and a simulation shows how an optimal strategy can be selected for success in the dynamic environment.

Citation Download Citation

Patrick Sweeney and George Cybenko "An analytic approach to cyber adversarial dynamics", Proc. SPIE 8359, Sensors, and Command, Control, Communications, and Intelligence (C3I) Technologies for Homeland Security and Homeland Defense XI, 835906 (18 June 2012); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.924758

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