A system dynamics approach to analysis for the metro passenger flow: A case study of Hangzhou

Junyi Hong

doi:10.1117/12.2619713

22 December 2021 A system dynamics approach to analysis for the metro passenger flow: A case study of Hangzhou

Junyi Hong

Author Affiliations +

Proceedings Volume 12058, Fifth International Conference on Traffic Engineering and Transportation System (ICTETS 2021); 1205863 (2021) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2619713
Event: 5th International Conference on Traffic Engineering and Transportation System (ICTETS 2021), 2021, Chongqing, China

Abstract

Metro passenger flow is a complex system with multiple variables and is influenced by economics, service capability, passenger perception, fares, and other factors. The insights into the internal mechanism between variables variation and passenger flow are crucial for effective planning and operational management in the metro. Thus, this paper proposes a system dynamics model based on the cause-and-effect analysis and feedback loop structures to construct the operational feedback mechanisms of the metro passenger flow. The model runs in Vensim PLE software using the data from Hangzhou, China. The variation trend of the dynamic processes can be used to analyze the effect of variables on passenger flow over time. It suggests that the attraction of the metro to passengers should be promoted at the early metro development in order to improve the utilization rate. Meanwhile, a reasonable construction investment plan should be made according to the development trend of passenger flow for each stage.

Citation Download Citation

Junyi Hong "A system dynamics approach to analysis for the metro passenger flow: A case study of Hangzhou", Proc. SPIE 12058, Fifth International Conference on Traffic Engineering and Transportation System (ICTETS 2021), 1205863 (22 December 2021); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2619713

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