Judgmental biases in decision support for strike operations

Jonathan D. Kulick; Paul K. Davis

doi:10.1117/12.500936

4 September 2003 Judgmental biases in decision support for strike operations

Jonathan D. Kulick, Paul K. Davis

Proceedings Volume 5091, Enabling Technologies for Simulation Science VII; (2003) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.500936
Event: AeroSense 2003, 2003, Orlando, Florida, United States

Abstract

Human decisionmaking does not typically fit the classical analytic model, and the heuristics employed may yield a variety of biased judgments. These biases are often considered inherently adverse, but may be functional in some cases. Decision support systems can mitigate some biases, but often introduce others. “Debiasing” decision support systems entails designing DSS to address expected biases, and to preclude inducing new ones. High-level C2 decisionmaking processes are poorly understood, but these general principles and lessons learned in other fields are expected to obtain. A notional air campaign illustrates potential biases in a commander’s judgment during planning and execution, and the role of debiasing operational DSS.

Citation Download Citation

Jonathan D. Kulick and Paul K. Davis "Judgmental biases in decision support for strike operations", Proc. SPIE 5091, Enabling Technologies for Simulation Science VII, (4 September 2003); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.500936

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