Dr. Toshiyuki Ishibashi Profile

Dr. Toshiyuki Ishibashi

at Meteorological Research Institute

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Proceedings Article | 18 November 2014 Paper

Observing system simulation experiments with multiple methods

Toshiyuki Ishibashi

Proceedings Volume 9265, 926508 (2014) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2069087

KEYWORDS: Error analysis, Statistical analysis, Computer simulations, Doppler effect, Solids, Meteorology, Satellites, Environmental sensing, Calibration, Atmospheric sensing

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An observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) is a method to evaluate impacts of hypothetical observing systems on analysis and forecast accuracy in numerical weather prediction (NWP) systems. Since OSSE requires simulations of hypothetical observations, uncertainty of OSSE results is generally larger than that of observing system experiments (OSEs). To reduce such uncertainty, OSSEs for existing observing systems are often carried out as calibration of the OSSE system. The purpose of this study is to achieve reliable OSSE results based on results of OSSEs with multiple methods. There are three types of OSSE methods. The first one is the sensitivity observing system experiment (SOSE) based OSSE (SOSEOSSE). The second one is the ensemble of data assimilation cycles (ENDA) based OSSE (ENDA-OSSE). The third one is the nature-run (NR) based OSSE (NR-OSSE). These three OSSE methods have very different properties. The NROSSE evaluates hypothetical observations in a virtual (hypothetical) world, NR. The ENDA-OSSE is very simple method but has a sampling error problem due to a small size ensemble. The SOSE-OSSE requires a very highly accurate analysis field as a pseudo truth of the real atmosphere. We construct these three types of OSSE methods in the Japan meteorological Agency (JMA) global 4D-Var experimental system. In the conference, we will present initial results of these OSSE systems and their comparisons.

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