The contemporary study of the global change of the atmosphere raise up the problem of models verification, namely, we need the quantified metric to compare models. One of such simple approach is to use the evidence on VLF-LF propagation under the X-ray solar flares. Any flare impacts on the middle atmosphere up to 60 km altitude. Its signature in amplitude record is clear and identifiable. We have a variety of radio paths and any season (or even year of solar cycle) in database. All aforementioned arguments make the strong basis for the model check. The response of the lower ionosphere and middle atmosphere to a solar flare depends on the quality of the source term definition and on the correctness of the chemical processes description. Different approaches are known for the derivation of X-ray excess ionization, varying from classic approach1 to huge Monte Carlo simulations.2 We elaborated the numerical model which is combined from an empirical model of ionization (GOES X-ray measurements) and numerical VLF propagation code.3 It successfully reproduced the first phase of the lower ionosphere response to the extremely strong solar X-flare (X9.9) September 06, 2017. Meanwhile, the decay phase was overestimated. Thus we decided to improve the ionosphere model and compare our model with other popular ionization schemes under the flares of various class. Moreover, all ionospheric models under analysis were realised in two modes: the standard mode with constant chemical rates and in the swarm mode with rates dependence on the altitude and ionization rate. The latter have been received in 70-s from complex kinetic simulations of the high altitude nuclear explosion impact on the ionosphere.4 We expected the improvement of results for intense flares and we wanted to check the quality of contemporary and old ionosphere models on the modern data. The results prove that (a) all models failed under empirical model of ionization; (b) the most promising model is IDG5 in swarm mode; (c) the problem of the minor neutrals is overestimated.
KEYWORDS: Data modeling, Transmitters, Observatories, Ionization, Solar processes, Systems modeling, Databases, Wave propagation, Differential equations
The principles of the probabilistic-statistical modeling of the D–region of the ionosphere are described. The work is devoted to the calculation of electron concentration using deterministic-probabilistic modeling. In this work the electron concentration is calculated using the five-components system of the ionization-recombination cycle equations. Probability density functions (PDFs) of the input parameters of the model are used to solve the system. It was shown that theoretical PDFs of the Ne are in good agreement with two experimental databases of electron concentration. Results of the deterministic-probabilistic model are compared with the experimental VLF signals obtained in geophysical observatory Mikhnevo from the three transmitters in different heliogeophysical conditions.
We discuss the role and the usage of the ionosphere models in the improvement of UHF-SHF radar operation. The up-to-date empirical ionosphere models (International Reference Ionosphere (IRI), Fully Analytical Ionosphere Model (FAIM), Ne-Quick2) have too crude spatial and temporal resolution. The aforementioned models cannot describe the localized irregularities (like traveling ionospheric disturbances or waves) which, in turn, are regularly observed at the midlatitude high frequency chirp ionosonde. In the presence of such irregularities the additional range error in UHF range can exceed 1-2 km. The poorly known quasi-random nature of such irregularities leads us to the unique solution, namely, the rejecting of the laminar layered ionosphere in favor of the random electron density field. Such new probabilistic ionosphere model must be elaborated and verified on the experimental data.
In the study of the ionosphere total electron content (TEC), defined from the data of global navigation satellite systems, are widely used. It is assumed that the main contribution to the value of TEC is made by the F region. At the same time, the results of many studies show that during the X-ray flares the ionization of the D region can increase substantially, reaching values of 106 cm-3. In this paper, we analyze the changes in the parameters of the D region during an X-class flare on September 6, 2017. It is shown that a correct interpretation of the variations of TEC with powerful X-ray flares requires taking into account of the contribution to its ionization value of the lower ionosphere.
Within the framework of the project, substances are indicators. It is these substances that are the main constituents of a watery suspension found on the surface of Mars. According to the conducted researches, the spectral region for the study of indicator substances was chosen. The method of remote sensing of the surface and the lidar construction scheme are chosen. The results of the preliminary calculation of the system are presented.
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