With the advancement of industrialization and the development of the social economy, electric power resources have become an essential guarantee for ensuring the efficient operation of society. As a critical implementation step in the design and development of power systems, power load forecasting not only ensures the safe and stable operation of power systems but also assists in accomplishing reasonable power distribution tasks. It has significant technical and economic importance. However, existing research on power load forecasting primarily relies on expert systems or general time series forecasting methods, which seldom consider the differences between power load data and other time series data. This presents difficulties in effectively leveraging the spatiotemporal attributes of power load data for forecasting purposes. To tackle this challenge, this paper introduces a data-driven model for power load prediction utilizing the attention mechanism. Firstly, the model incorporates multi-source heterogeneous data, deeply exploring the spatiotemporal correlations of load user behavior data. Secondly, a covariate dimensionality reduction module based on residual neural networks is designed, significantly improving the model's computational efficiency. By constructing the Fourier transform, the model can effectively extract and embed the periodic characteristics of power data. The model is tested on a regional dataset and three public datasets. The findings indicate that the proposed approach surpasses baseline models across all evaluation metrics, offering dependable predictive support for the stable functioning of power systems.
KEYWORDS: Data privacy, Data transmission, Power grids, Network architectures, Data communications, Internet of things, Data storage, Education and training, Power consumption, Telecommunications
The amount of power data generated by smart grid is huge and growing, which leads to the problem of data loss in the process of privacy calculation. Therefore, this paper proposes a power data privacy calculation method for smart grid based on narrow band Internet of Things (NB-IOT). Establish NB-IOT network architecture, and use NB-IOT to complete the collection of power privacy data. According to the data transmission error of privacy layer, the privacy value of smart grid is corrected, and the convergence of smart grid is improved by momentum factor and adaptive learning rate. Aiming at the results of specific demand calculation without universality, an advanced and universal power data privacy calculation method of IE-BPDN (information entropy-BP neural network) is proposed. Experiments show that the research method has faster convergence speed and the deviation rate of privacy calculation can be controlled below 4%.
In recent years, with the clean energy consumption, decentralized supply and market-oriented trading, the composition of power system has become increasingly complex. As one of the most important consumer groups, the mining of residents' power consumption behavior is of great value to strengthen demand side management, improve energy efficiency and promote the development of smart grid. Therefore, this paper studies the pattern recognition and associated factors of power consumption behavior based on unsupervised clustering and Apriori. We use the hourly load curve of Shanghai residents from 2016 to 2018 to carry out the experiment. According to the results of the survey, we distinguish the single household characteristics and combined household characteristics, analyze their relationship with these typical power consumption modes, and eliminate the impact of unbalanced distribution of categories. The experimental results show that socio-economic factors, environmental cognitive factors and housing factors will affect Chinese residents' power consumption behavior to varying degrees. The association rules of combined household characteristics formed in different seasons are also quite different.
Power consumption forecasting is an important part of the macro planning of the industry and energy sector, and accurate forecasting of power load is very important for power grid management and power dispatching. At present, most of the power load forecasting takes the region as the object, but residents and small and medium-sized enterprise users are the basic units of electricity consumption, and their power load forecasting is as important as regional power load forecasting. compared with the regional power load, the electricity load of residents and small and medium-sized enterprises is more uncertain and more difficult to forecast. Therefore, this study combines the adaptive spectral clustering (ASC) method with the support vector quantile regression model (SVQR) to analyze the electricity consumption behavior of smart grid users and predict the residential power load. In this paper, the grid search is used to optimize the parameters of the Gaussian kernel SVQR model (GSVQR) to predict the power load, and compare it with other algorithms. From the two error evaluation index values of MAPE and pinball loss, the prediction effect of the GSVQR model is the best. In order to effectively provide uncertain information of power load, the GSVQR algorithm is used to predict the load of ultra-high energy consumption users and medium energy consumption users at any time in the future. Extensive experimental results show that: compared with other models, the prediction accuracy of the GSVQR model is higher; and the prediction results of the GSVQR model still have high reliability. Therefore, the method used in this paper can solve the problem of uncertainty of load forecasting.
The rapid development of the global economy has brought a lot of fossil energy consumption and environmental pollution, such as the greenhouse effect caused by car exhaust. In order to fundamentally replace the use of fossil energy, electric vehicles have been vigorously promoted by governments all over the world in recent years. However, the electric vehicle charging pile has encountered a new problem in the process of promotion: the electric vehicle charging load is often unbalanced in time and space, which requires an accurate power load forecasting and scheduling model. In the past, algorithms such as random forest were used to predict the load data of charging piles, which provides a more accurate prediction for the load data. However, these methods require a large amount of data trained by the power load model and are not conducive to the protection of privacy. In order to solve these problems, we design an FRF-CNN model, which combines federated learning with random forest and the convolutional neural network model. Extensive experiments show that FRF-CNN has better classification performance on distributed charging piles than other models, and our method effectively protects the privacy of sensitive data.
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